Concerns over recapitalization of banks are likely to increase
Mumbai, Ta. 12 January 2021, Tuesday
Concerns about the capitalization of banks, especially state-owned banks, are likely to increase. The state-owned banks are currently in a weak position in the country's banking sector and their gross non-performing assets (NPAs) are expected to increase to 14.50 per cent by September 2021, according to the Reserve Bank's Financial Stability Report. In the most unfavorable conditions, the proportion could be as high as 15.50 per cent.
In September 2020, the gross NPAs stood at 6.50%. Private and foreign banks are in a better position than government banks. NPAs in private banks are likely to rise to 6.50 per cent, while in times of extreme stress, the figure could be as high as 7.50 per cent.
According to the report, foreign banks are likely to see this ratio at 7.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent respectively.
The low valuations of public sector banks have made it difficult for them to raise money from the market.
In the financial year 2015-16 to 2016-20, the government has invested Rs 4.5 trillion in these banks. The market cap of these banks is Rs 3 trillion, which is only 12.5 per cent more than the amount disbursed in the last five years.
The report also expressed concern over the deteriorating asset quality of not only state-owned banks but also non-banking financial companies (NBFCs).
The report notes that the situation was caused by a disruption in trade caused by Corona.
At the end of March 2020, the gross NPA ratio of large NBFCs was 7.50 per cent, which could rise to 6.50 per cent in a very unfavorable situation.
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