Interest rate cut unlikely before 2024: S&P
Mumbai: Interest rate cuts in India are expected to begin early next year. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) would prefer to see inflation come down to around four percent before cutting interest rates. Softening crude oil prices and reduced demand will bring down fuel prices and inflation. The cycle of inflation and interest rate hikes has reached its peak. But we expect the Reserve Bank to start cutting interest rates in early 2024 as its first target is to bring down inflation to four percent, said a report issued by S&P. S&P expects India's inflation to fall to five per cent in fiscal 2023-24, assuming the current year's monsoon will be normal. Inflation was 6.70 percent in the last financial year. As inflation and the reduction in the fiscal deficit have reduced the pressure to increase interest rates, the demand for a cut in interest rates is increasing. However, keeping in mind the high interest rate situation in America and the hanging risk of inflation, the i